Prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism in liver transplant recipients and associated risk factors.

The prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism and associated risk factors are unknown in liver transplant recipients. We aimed to determine the prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism and associated risk factors in liver transplant recipients and to compare it with controls from the general population. As part of the Danish Comorbidity in Liver Transplant Recipients (DACOLT) Study, all Danish liver transplant recipients over the age of 20 were invited for measurements of concentrations of thyrotropin and thyroid hormones. The prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism was compared to age- and sex-matched controls from the Copenhagen General Population Study. Using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and body-mass index, we investigated potential risk factors. We recruited 489 liver transplant recipients and 1808 controls. Among liver transplant recipients, 14 (2.9%) had hyperthyroidism compared with 21 (1.2%) of controls (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-4.75, P = 0.04), while 42 (5.7%) had hypothyroidism compared with 139 (7.7%) of controls (aOR 0.68, 95% CI 0.43-1.08, P = 0.10). Female sex, and autoimmune hepatitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis as causes of transplantation were associated with hyperthyroidism after adjustments. Age, female sex, and autoimmune liver diseases as cause of transplantation were associated with hypothyroidism after adjustments. DACOLT is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04777032).

Diagnoses of obstetric and postpartum thyroid disease: a Danish validation study.

Different diagnoses of thyroid disease are available in the 10th International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10), but the validity of diagnoses related to obstetric and postpartum thyroid disease is unknown. This was a retrospective cohort study of all patients in the North Denmark Region with a diagnosis of postpartum thyroiditis (PPT) (ICD-10: O905) from 2016 to 2019 or obstetric thyroid disease in 2019 (ICD-10: O992B (hypothyroidism) or O992C (hyperthyroidism)) registered in the Danish National Hospital Register. Information from nationwide registers and medical records were used to assess the validity. Among patients with an O905-diagnosis (n = 40), abnormal thyroid function test results were seen in all cases. A total of eight patients (20.0%) were positive for thyrotropin receptor antibodies postpartum, however, in low titers, and PPT was verified in 39 of 40 cases (97.5%). Altogether 45 of 50 patients with an O992B-diagnosis (90.0%) correctly had hypothyroidism, whereas hyperthyroidism was found in 25 of 39 patients with an O992C-diagnosis (64.1%). This is the first study to validate ICD-10 diagnoses of obstetric and postpartum thyroid disease. A high validity was seen for PPT (O905) and obstetric hypothyroidism (O992B), whereas for obstetric hyperthyroidism (O992C), the diagnosis could not be verified in one third of the cases.

A Novel TSHR Gene Mutation in a Family with Non-autoimmune Hyperthyroidism.

Background: Familial non-autoimmune hyperthyroidism is a rare disorder characterized by the absence of thyroid autoimmunity, particularly TSH receptor antibody [TRAb]. Objective: The aim of this study was to describe a novel TSHR mutation identified in a family of two siblings and their father. Methods: Two siblings presented for endocrine assessment at ages 7 and 14 years with mild T3 toxicosis, and the father presented at 30 years of age with non-autoimmune thyrotoxicosis. Both siblings were treated with oral antithyroid therapy to achieve reasonable symptom control and thyroid function normalization. The father was treated with oral antithyroid therapy, radioactive iodine, thyroidectomy, and thyroid replacement therapy. Peripheral blood DNA was extracted from both affected siblings and father. Mutation analysis of TSHR was carried out by PCR and Sanger sequencing of both strands of the extracted DNA. Results: Both siblings and their father were heterozygous for the missense TSHR variant c.1855G>C, p.[Asp619His], in exon 10. Conclusions: This novel TSHR variant is associated with T3 toxicosis during childhood. Therefore, early identification and treatment may improve patient outcomes.

Evaluation of Neuro-Hormonal Dynamics after the Administration of Probiotic Microbial Strains in a Murine Model of Hyperthyroidism.

The microbiota-gut-brain axis has received increasing attention in recent years through its bidirectional communication system, governed by the ability of gut microorganisms to generate and regulate a wide range of neurotransmitters in the host body. In this research, we delve into the intricate area of microbial endocrinology by exploring the dynamic oscillations in neurotransmitter levels within plasma and brain samples. Our experimental model involved inducing hyperthyroidism in mice after a "probiotic load" timeframe using two strains of probiotics (Lactobacillus acidophilus, Saccharomyces boulardii, and their combination). These probiotic interventions continued throughout the experiment and were intended to uncover potential modulatory effects on neurotransmitter levels and discern if certain probiotic strains exhibit any protection from hyperthyroidism. Moreover, we aimed to outline the eventual connections between the gut microbiota and the hypothalamus-pituitary-thyroid axis. As our study reveals, there are significant fluctuations in crucial neurotransmitters within the hyperthyroidism model, related to the specific probiotic strain or combination. These findings could support future therapeutic approaches, help healthcare professionals choose between different probiotic therapies, and also allow us proceed with caution when administering such treatments, depending on the health status of hyperthyroid patients.

Frequency and characteristics of immune-related thyroid adverse events in patients with resected stage III/IV melanoma treated with adjuvant PD-1 inhibitors: a national cohort study.

PURPOSE: Immune-related thyroid adverse events (irTAEs) occur frequently following immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. The purpose of this study is to provide knowledge about the incidence, clinical timeline characteristics, associated factors of irTAEs, and potential impact on treatment efficacy in patients with melanoma receiving adjuvant ICI therapy. METHODS: A national multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients with resected stage III/IV melanoma treated with adjuvant PD-1 inhibitors between November 2018 and December 2020. Data were extracted from the Danish Metastatic Melanoma Database. The irTAEs were defined as two consecutive abnormal TSH values and subdivided into transient or persistent. RESULTS: Of 454 patients, 99 developed an irTAE (21.8%), of these were 46 transient (46.5%) and 53 persistent (53.5%). Median time to transient and persistent irTAE was 55 and 44 days, respectively (p = 0.57). A hyperthyroid phase followed by hypothyroidism was seen in 73.6% of persistent irTAEs, whereas 87% of transient irTAEs developed an isolated hypo- or hyperthyroid phase. Multiple variable analysis demonstrated an association between irTAE and female sex (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.63-3.70; p < 0.001), but no association with recurrence-free survival (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.50-1.48; p = 0.587) or overall survival (HR 1.05; 95% CI 0.52-2.12, p = 0.891). CONCLUSIONS: IrTAE is a common side effect to PD-1 inhibitors primarily occurring within the first 3 months, with a high risk of persistency. Female sex is a strong predictive factor. IrTAE was not associated with improved clinical outcome.

Thyroid function and polycystic ovary syndrome: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Multiple evidence suggests that thyroid function is associated with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), but whether thyroid function is causally related to PCOS is unclear. To investigate whether the association reflect causality, a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted. Methods: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) involved in this study were acquired from The ThyroidOmics Consortium and the IEU Open Genome-wide association study (GWAS) database, respectively. In forward MR analysis, we included normal free thyroxine (FT4, n=49,269), normal thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH, n=54,288), hypothyroidism (n=53,423) and hyperthyroidism (n=51,823) as exposure. The outcome was defined as PCOS in a sample size of 16,380,318 individuals. The exposure in the reverse MR analyses was chosen as PCOS, while the outcome consisted of the four phenotypes of thyroid function. The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was performed as the major analysis, supplemented by sensitivity analyses. Results: The occurrence of PCOS was associated with increased risk of hyperthyroidism (IVW, OR=1.08, 95%CI=1.02-1.13, P=0.004). No evidence suggested that other phenotypes of thyroid function were related to PCOS. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate a cause-and-effect connection between PCOS and hyperthyroidism. The study established foundation for further investigation for interaction between thyroid function and PCOS.

Causal association between thyroid dysfunction and sepsis: a two-sample mendelian randomization study.

Background: The causal association between thyroid dysfunction (including hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism) and sepsis is controversial in previous studies. Therefore, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) to explore the causal association between hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism and the susceptibility to four distinct subtypes of sepsis (streptococcal sepsis, puerperal sepsis, asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis, and other sepsis). Methods: In our research, we conducted two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses utilizing publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS) data from Sakaue et al. and the Finnish database to investigate the potential causal associations between hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, and each of the four distinct subtypes of sepsis, in addition to reverse MR analyses of the positive results to examine the existence of reverse causality. Results: Genetic hypothyroidism was causally related to the development of asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis (ORIVW: 1.097, 95% CI: 1.024 to 1.174, P = 0.008); hypothyroidism was significantly associated with the development of other sepsis (ORIVW: 1.070, 95% CI: 1.028 to 1.115, P < 0.001). In addition, sensitivity analysis substantiated the robustness of these two MR findings, with no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy observed (P > 0.05). MR Egger regression analysis demonstrated no heterogeneity between instrumental variables (IVs). Inverse MR results confirmed no reverse causality between hypothyroidism and asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis, or between hypothyroidism and other sepsis. The findings of this study also unveiled that there is no evidence of a causal link between hypothyroidism and the development of streptococcal sepsis or puerperal sepsis. Additionally, the research provided evidence indicating the absence of a causal relationship between hyperthyroidism and streptococcal sepsis, puerperal sepsis, asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis, and other sepsis. Conclusions: This study identified a causal link between hypothyroidism and the occurrence of asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis, and other sepsis, but not with the development of streptococcal sepsis and puerperal sepsis. Moreover, our findings did not reveal any causal association between hyperthyroidism and streptococcal sepsis, puerperal sepsis, asthma-associated pneumonia or sepsis, and other sepsis.

MACE and Hyperthyroidism Treated With Medication, Radioactive Iodine, or Thyroidectomy.

Importance: Excessive thyroid hormones from hyperthyroidism increase cardiovascular risks. Among 3 available treatments for hyperthyroidism, comparisons of long-term outcomes associated with antithyroid drugs (ATDs), radioactive iodine (RAI), and surgery to treat newly diagnosed hyperthyroidism are lacking. Objective: To compare risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality among patients with hyperthyroidism treated with ATDs, RAI, or surgery. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide cohort study used the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients aged 20 years or older with newly diagnosed hyperthyroidism between 2011 and 2020 were enrolled. Treatment groups were determined within 18 months from diagnosis, with follow-up until the development of MACE, death, or the end date of the database, whichever came first. Data were analyzed from October 2022 through December 2023. Exposures: The ATD group received ATDs only. RAI and surgery groups could receive ATDs before treatment. Anyone who underwent thyroid surgery without RAI was classified into the surgery group and vice versa. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes included MACE (a composite outcome of acute myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and cardiovascular mortality) and all-cause mortality. Results: Among 114 062 patients with newly diagnosed hyperthyroidism (mean [SD] age, 44.1 [13.6] years; 83 505 female [73.2%]), 107 052 patients (93.9%) received ATDs alone, 1238 patients (1.1%) received RAI, and 5772 patients (5.1%) underwent surgery during a mean (SD) follow-up of 4.4 (2.5) years. Patients undergoing surgery had a significantly lower risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.98; P = .04), all-cause mortality (HR = 0.53; 95% CI, 0.41-0.68; P < .001), heart failure (HR = 0.33; 95% CI, 0.18-0.59; P < .001), and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.79; P = .005) compared with patients receiving ATDs. Compared with ATDs, RAI was associated with lower MACE risk (HR = 0.45; 95% CI, 0.22-0.93; P = .03). Risks for acute myocardial infarction and stroke did not significantly differ between treatment groups. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, surgery was associated with lower long-term risks of MACE and all-cause mortality, while RAI was associated with a lower MACE risk compared with ATDs.

Genetic insights into repurposing statins for hyperthyroidism prevention: a drug-target Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Current therapeutic measures for thyroid dysfunction are limited and often accompanied by adverse effects. The use of lipid-lowering drugs like statins has recently been associated with lower thyroid eye diseases risk. Objective: To investigate the implications of genetically proxied lipid-lowering drugs on thyroid dysfunction. Methods: In this drug-target Mendelian randomization (MR) study, we utilized genetic variants within drug target genes associated with low-density lipoprotein (LDL) or triglyceride (TG), derived from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis (N ≤ 188,577), to simulate lifelong drug interventions. Genetic summary statistics for thyroid dysfunction outcomes were retrieved from GWAS datasets of Thyroid Omics Consortium (N ≤ 54,288) and UK Biobank (N = 484,598). Inverse-variance-weighted MR (IVW-MR) method was performed as primary analysis, followed by validation in colocalization analysis. A subsequent two-step MR analysis was conducted to identify biomarkers mediating the identified drug-outcome association. Results: In IVW-MR analysis, genetic mimicry of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutarylcoenzyme reductase (HMGCR) inhibitors (e.g. statins) was significantly associated with lower risk of hyperthyroidism in two independent datasets (OR1, 0.417 per 1-mmol/L lower in LDL-C; 95% CI 0.262 to 0.664; P1 = 2.262 × 10-4; OR2 0.996; 95% CI 0.993-0.998; P2 = 0.002). Two-step MR analysis revealed eighteen biomarkers linked to genetic mimicry of HMGCR inhibition, and identified insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) levels mediating 2.108% of the negative causal relationship between HMGCR inhibition and hyperthyroidism. Conclusion: This study supports HMGCR inhibition as a promising therapeutic strategy for hyperthyroidism and suggests its underlying mechanisms may extend beyond lipid metabolism. Further investigations through laboratory studies and clinical trials are necessary to confirm and elucidate these findings.

TSHR signaling promotes hippocampal dependent memory formation through modulating Wnt5a/ß-catenin mediated neurogenesis.

Subclinical hyperthyroidism is defined biochemically as a low or undetectable thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) with normal thyroid hormone levels. Low TSHR signaling is considered to associate with cognitive impairment. However, the underlying molecular mechanism by which TSHR signaling modulates memory is poorly understood. In this study, we found that Tshr-deficient in the hippocampal neurons impairs the learning and memory abilities of mice, accompanying by a decline in the number of newborn neurons. Notably, Tshr ablation in the hippocampus decreases the expression of Wnt5a, thereby inactivating the ß-catenin signaling pathway to reduce the neurogenesis. Conversely, activating of the Wnt/ß-catenin pathway by the agonist SKL2001 results in an increase in hippocampal neurogenesis, resulting in the amelioration in the deficits of memory caused by Tshr deletion. Understanding how TSHR signaling in the hippocampus regulates memory provides insights into subclinical hyperthyroidism affecting cognitive function and will suggest ways to rationally design interventions for neurocognitive disorders.

What Is Hyperthyroidism?

This JAMA Patient Page describes hyperthyroidism causes, symptoms, diagnosis, and treatment options.

Immune-related adverse events associated with first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors for metastatic renal cell carcinoma: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: In the realm of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC), the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has revolutionized treatment paradigms. Despite their effectiveness, the comprehensive safety profile of these therapies remains inadequately explored. This network meta-analysis aims to comparing the safety profiles of ICI-based treatments in mRCC, offering vital insights that could lead to the optimization of treatment strategies and improvement of patient care. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov, Google Schola, OpenGrey and Scopus through November 1, 2023. The risk of bias assessment was performed using the Risk of Bias version 2 tool. RESULTS: Seven randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with a total of 5976 patients were included for data analysis. The risk of bias results showed that all RCTs were considered "some concerns". The probability of hypothyroidism (surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) = 0.981), hyperthyroidism (SUCRA = 0.983) and dermatologic immune-related adverse events (irAEs) (SUCRA = 0.955) in the Nivolumab + Cabozantinib ranked the first. The Avelumab + Axitinib had the highest incidence of adrenal insufficiency (AI) (SUCRA = 0.976), hepatitis (SUCRA = 0.937) and colitis (SUCRA = 0.864). The Nivolumab + Ipilimumab exhibited the highest incidence of pneumonitis (SUCRA = 0.755). Pembrolizumab + Lenvatinib had the highest incidence of nephritic irAEs (SUCRA = 0.788). The ICI-based group showed a higher incidence of hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism, dermatologic irAEs, hepatitis and nephritic irAEs than sunitinib. However, the confidence in the evidence regarding the impact of ICI-based treatments on AI, pneumonia, and colitis remains limited. CONCLUSION: The analysis focused on the probability of irAEs occurrence in each system when mRCC patients were treated with different ICI-based therapies, potentially offering significant value for guiding clinical prevention, early diagnosis, and management of irAEs. The limitations of the study included the potential heterogeneity and low certainty of part of the evidence.

Thyroid dysfunction after immune checkpoint inhibitors in a single-centre UK pan-cancer cohort: A retrospective study.

PURPOSE: This study investigated thyroid dysfunction with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in terms of proportions affected, risk factors, thyroid sequelae, and overall survival (OS). METHODS: Among patients with normal baseline free T4 (fT4) and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) receiving ICIs at a large cancer centre, proportions of hyperthyroidism/hypothyroidism were determined (any, subclinical [normal fT4, abnormal TSH], overt [abnormal fT4, abnormal TSH], isolated hyperthyroxinaemia/hypothyroxinaemia and secondary) with onset times and subsequent thyroid statuses. Associations of overt dysfunction with OS were estimated using Cox regression and methods robust to immortal time bias (time-dependent Cox regression and 3- and 6-month landmark analyses). Associations of baseline variables with overt hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism were estimated using Fine and Gray regression. RESULTS: Of 1349 patients, 34.2% developed hyperthyroidism (10.3% overt), including 54.9% receiving combination ICIs, while 28.2% developed hypothyroidism (overt 9.3%, secondary 0.5%). A third of overt hypothyroidism cases occurred without preceding hyperthyroidism. Subclinical thyroid dysfunction returned directly to normal in up to half. Overt hyperthyroidism progressed to overt hypothyroidism in 55.4% (median 1.6 months). Melanoma treatment in the adjuvant vs. advanced setting caused more overt hyperthyroidism (12.1% vs. 7.5%) and overt hypothyroidism (14.5% vs. 9.7%). Baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (HR=1.68, 1.07-2.63) was associated with overt hyperthyroidism and sex (HR=0.60, 0.42-0.87) and TSH (4th vs. 1st quartile HR=1.87, 1.10-3.19) with overt hypothyroidism. Overt dysfunction was associated with OS in the Cox analysis (HR=0.65, 0.50-0.85, median follow-up 22.2 months) but not in the time-dependent Cox (HR=0.79, 0.60-1.03) or landmark analyses (3-month HR=0.74, 0.51-1.07; 6-month HR=0.91, 0.66-1.24). CONCLUSION: Thyroid dysfunction affects up to half of patients receiving ICIs. The association with OS is unclear after considering immortal time bias. The clinical courses include recovery, thyrotoxicosis and de novo overt hypothyroidism. Adjuvant treatment for melanoma, where longer-term harms are of concern, causes more frequent/aggressive dysfunction.

Central hyperthyroidism due to an ectopic TSH-secreting pituitary tumor: a case report and literature review.

Ectopic thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH)-secreting tumors are extremely rare, with only 15 reported cases in the literature. Herein, we described a 60-year-old female patient with thyrotoxicosis and elevated or unsuppressed levels of TSH. Family history and laboratory and genetic tests did not support a diagnosis of resistance to thyroid hormone (RTH). Given the unsuppressed TSH, TSH-secreting tumor was suspected, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the pituitary gland was performed. Surprisingly, the MRI scans revealed a nodule in the nasopharynx rather than a pituitary tumor in the sella region. Further evaluation using Gallium-68 DOTATATE positron emission tomography/computed tomography (68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT) demonstrated increased DOTATATE uptake in the nasopharyngeal nodule. Additionally, an octreotide suppression test (OST) revealed an obvious reduction in TSH levels, further supporting the suspicion of the nasopharyngeal mass as the cause of inappropriate TSH secretion. To prepare for surgery, the patient received preoperative administration of octreotide, resulting in the normalization of TSH and thyroid hormone levels. The patient subsequently underwent successful surgical removal of the nasopharyngeal mass. Following the procedure, the patient experienced complete resolution of hyperthyroidism symptoms, with TSH declined and thyroid hormone levels returned to normal. Histochemistry analysis of the tumor revealed positive staining for TSH, growth hormone (GH), prolactin (PRL), luteinizing hormone (LH), and somatostatin receptor 2 (SSTR2). We discussed differential diagnosis of hyperthyroidism due to inappropriate TSH secretion, with a particular emphasis on the importance of 68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT in combination with OST for identifying ectopic pituitary tumors.

Does iodine fortification affect the risk of atrial fibrillation in incident hyperthyroidism? A national register-based cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Iodine fortification (IF) induces an initial increase followed by a decrease in the incidence of hyperthyroidism in the general population. Within the population of hyperthyroid patients, the sex-, age- and subtype distribution changes after IF. The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in hyperthyroid patients may be influenced by these factors. Therefore, we aimed to examine how the association between incident hyperthyroidism and AF was affected by IF increasing the population iodine intake from moderate-mild iodine deficiency to low adequacy. DESIGN, PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Incident hyperthyroid patients were included at the date of first inpatient or outpatient diagnosis, and AF diagnoses within 3 months before to 6 months after the index date were identified in Danish nationwide registers, 1997-2018. The relative risk (RR) of AF each calendar year (reference: 1997; IF introduced: 2000) was analyzed in Poisson regression models adjusted for age, sex, educational level, geographic region, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Overall, in 62,201 patients with incident hyperthyroidism 7.9% were diagnosed with AF. There was a minor nonsignificantly increased risk of AF during the first years after IF followed by a gradual decrease to RR 0.76 (0.62-0.94) in 2017. There were no statistically significant differences in the development in the risk of AF by sex, age group, or geographic region. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that IF may reduce the risk of concomitant AF in hyperthyroid patients. If these results are confirmed, IF may not only reduce the population incidence of hyperthyroidism but also reduce the burden of morbidity in the remaining hyperthyroid patients.

Enhanced predictive validity of integrative models for refractory hyperthyroidism considering baseline and early therapy characteristics: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A subset of Graves' disease (GD) patients develops refractory hyperthyroidism, posing challenges in treatment decisions. The predictive value of baseline characteristics and early therapy indicators in identifying high risk individuals is an area worth exploration. METHODS: A prospective cohort study (2018-2022) involved 597 newly diagnosed adult GD patients undergoing methimazole (MMI) treatment. Baseline characteristics and 3-month therapy parameters were utilized to develop predictive models for refractory GD, considering antithyroid drug (ATD) dosage regimens. RESULTS: Among 346 patients analyzed, 49.7% developed ATD-refractory GD, marked by recurrence and sustained Thyrotropin Receptor Antibody (TRAb) positivity. Key baseline factors, including younger age, Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO), larger goiter size, and higher initial free triiodothyronine (fT3), free thyroxine (fT4), and TRAb levels, were all significantly associated with an increased risk of refractory GD, forming the baseline predictive model (Model A). Subsequent analysis based on MMI cumulative dosage at 3 months resulted in two subgroups: a high cumulative dosage group (average ≥ 20 mg/day) and a medium-low cumulative dosage group (average < 20 mg/day). Absolute values, percentage changes, and cumulative values of thyroid function and autoantibodies at 3 months were analyzed. Two combined predictive models, Model B (high cumulative dosage) and Model C (medium-low cumulative dosage), were developed based on stepwise regression and multivariate analysis, incorporating additional 3-month parameters beyond the baseline. In both groups, these combined models outperformed the baseline model in terms of discriminative ability (measured by AUC), concordance with actual outcomes (66.2% comprehensive improvement), and risk classification accuracy (especially for Class I and II patients with baseline predictive risk < 71%). The reliability of the above models was confirmed through additional analysis using random forests. This study also explored ATD dosage regimens, revealing differences in refractory outcomes between predicted risk groups. However, adjusting MMI dosage after early risk assessment did not conclusively improve the prognosis of refractory GD. CONCLUSION: Integrating baseline and early therapy characteristics enhances the predictive capability for refractory GD outcomes. The study provides valuable insights into refining risk assessment and guiding personalized treatment decisions for GD patients.

The Accomplishments and Legacy of Saul Hertz, MD.

The early history of the use of radioactive iodine (RAI) is complicated and interesting, and also difficult to discover, especially since several histories have presented inaccurate content. This article is a comprehensive review of the accomplishments of Saul Hertz. Extensive use of primary-source verification has clarified several issues, including the question of whether Hertz alone conceived and asked the pivotal question: "Could iodine be made radioactive artificially?"; on what date RAI was first used to treat hyperthyroidism; and why 2 articles on the first use of RAI for treatment of hyperthyroidism, from 2 different sets of authors from the same department of the same institution, appeared adjacent to each other in the same issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association in 1946. Our review also chronicles several major challenges that Hertz overcame to produce his pivotal work. Hertz was clearly the originator and a visionary of RAI therapy in benign and malignant thyroid disease. We believe he can be considered one of the fathers of nuclear medicine. Hertz's paradigm-changing work was a pivotal medical discovery of the 20th century. The legacy of Hertz continues while the application of RAI therapy continues to evolve. RAI therapy remains the preferred treatment in most situations for autonomous nodules and toxic multinodular goiter and remains a safe and effective treatment for Graves disease after more than 80 y of global clinical use. RAI treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer remains a first-line treatment for most patients after surgery, especially for those with intermediate- or high-risk disease.